Perhaps the most lopsided matchup in the playoffs starts tonight as the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Miami Heat. The game at AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami, FL, is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET, and will be televised on TNT.
The Bucks are 38-44 SU and 37-45 ATS so far this season. They are 17-24 on the road, and are coming off of a 95-89 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday night. In that game, they won against the spread as 3 ½ point road underdogs, with the total going UNDER the 201 ½ point line that was set. Before that, they suffered a 112-111 loss to the Denver Nuggets, but covered the spread as 5 ½ point home underdogs. The Bucks are 5-5 ATS over their last ten games.
The Heat are 66-16 SU and 46-36 ATS overall this year. They are 37-4 at home, and are coming off of a 105-93 win over the Orlando Magic on Wednesday night. In that one, they covered the spread as 7 ½ point home favorites, and the total went OVER the 193 point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 96-95 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, and won against the spread as 1 ½ point road underdogs. The Heat are 8-2 ATS over their last ten games.
Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS on Sunday, and 4-10-1 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals. They are 6-20 ATS against the Eastern Conference, and 2-8 ATS on the road. They are 2-11 ATS against the Southeast Division, and 2-5 ATS on the road against teams with a winning home record. The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their recent games on Sunday, and UNDER in 6 of their last 7 on the road against teams with a winning home record. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 9 games on the road, and OVER in 15 of their last 24 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Miami is 6-0 ATS on Sunday, and 9-0 ATS against teams with a losing record. They are 7-1 ATS overall lately, and 7-1 ATS against the Eastern Conference. They are 4-1 ATS at home, and 4-1 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals round. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games at home, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 games overall. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 against the Eastern Conference, and UNDER in 20 of their last 29 games on Sunday.
Between these teams, the Bucks are 5-2 ATS when playing in Miami. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of their last 16 meetings, and UNDER in 8 of their last 10 matchups in Miami.
For tonight’s game, the Heat are listed as 13 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 199 points.