Another Eastern Conference round one matchup starts up again tonight as the Boston Celtics take on the New York Knicks. The game at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET, and will be televised on TNT.
In Game 1 of this series, the Knicks took advantage of a 8-point fourth quarter from the Celtics, and won 85-78. However, Boston won against the spread as 7 ½ point road underdogs, with the total going UNDER the 189 ½ point line that was set.
The Celtics are 41-41 SU and 37-42-3 ATS so far this season. They are 14-28 on the road. Before losing to the Knicks in Game 1, they had a 114-90 loss to the Toronto Raptors to close out the regular season. In that one, they lost against the spread as 6 point road underdogs. Before that, they had a 120-88 win over the Orlando Magic, and won against the spread as 4 ½ point road favorites. The Celtics are 4-6 ATS over their last ten games.
The Knicks are 55-28 SU and 46-35-2 ATS overall this year. They are 32-10 at home. Before winning Game 1 over the Celtics, they had a 98-92 win over the Atlanta Hawks in the final game of the regular season. In that one, they covered the spread as 5 point home favorites. Prior to that, they had a 106-95 loss to the Charlotte Bobcats, and failed to cover the spread as 1 ½ point road underdogs. The Knicks are 7-3 ATS over their last ten games.
Boston is 13-5 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS against the Atlantic Division. They are 4-0 ATS following a SU loss, and 1-5 ATS following a win spreadwise. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games overall, and UNDER in all 4 of their recent games against teams with a winning record. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games on Tuesday, and UNDER in 9 of their last 12 in the Conference Quarterfinals.
New York is 4-1 ATS against the Atlantic Division, and 5-1 ATS at home against teams with a losing road record. They are 20-7 ATS overall lately, and 46-22 ATS at home. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 at home against teams with a losing road record, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games overall, and UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games in the Conference Quarterfinals.
Between these teams, the Celtics are 6-2 ATS when playing in New York, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in this series. The total has gone UNDER in all 4 of their recent matchups.
For tonight’s game, the Knicks are listed as 6 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 185 ½ points.
Our take: we give the Knicks a solid 69% chance to win on the moneyline, but we don’t give either team enough of an edge to cover the spread. For more info, take a look at our NBA betting system for the analysis we use on these games.