The final NBA playoffs game on Saturday night features the Memphis Grizzlies taking on the Los Angeles Clippers. The game at the Staples Center is scheduled to tip off at 10:30 PM ET, and will be televised on ESPN.
The Grizzlies are 56-26 SU and 46-34-2 ATS so far this season. They are 24-17 on the road, and are coming off of an 86-70 win over the Utah Jazz on Wednesday night. In that game, they won against the spread as 4 ½ point home favorites, and the total went UNDER the 178 ½ point line that was set. Before that, they had a 103-97 win over the Dallas Mavericks, covering the spread as 3 ½ point road favorites. The Grizzlies are 6-3-1 ATS over their last ten games.
The Clippers are 56-26 SU and 45-37 ATS overall this year. They are 32-9 at home, and are coming off of a 112-108 win over the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday night. In that one, they lost against the spread as 6 ½ point road favorites, with the total going OVER the 205 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 93-77 win over the Portland Trail Blazers, and covered the spread as 15 ½ point home favorites. The Clippers are 6-4 ATS over their last ten games.
Memphis is 4-1-1 ATS on the road, and 4-1 ATS overall lately. They are 7-3-3 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals, and 3-7 ATS against teams with a winning record. They are 1-3-1 ATS against the Pacific Division. The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their recent games against the Pacific Division, and UNDER in 9 of their last 10 games overall. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 on the road, and UNDER in 17 of their last 21 against the Western Conference. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 Quarterfinals games, and UNDER in 35 of their last 53 on Saturday.
Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS at home, and 5-2-2 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals. They are 5-2 ATS overall lately, and 5-2 ATS against Western Conference opponents. They are 2-5 ATS on Saturday, and 0-6 ATS at home against teams with a winning road record. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games at home, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 12 games on Saturday, and OVER in 9 of their last 13 games overall.
Between these teams, the Grizzlies are 1-4-1 ATS lately. The road team is 4-1 ATS, while the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in this series. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 meetings, and UNDER in 5 of their last 7 matchups in LA.
For tonight’s game, the Clippers are listed as 5 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 178 ½ points.
Our take: we give the Clippers a 73% chance to win tonight’s game outright, and a 57.25% chance to cover the spread. Our projection for the OVER is 60.10%. Check out the NBA betting system we use for these predictions on this page.