The best bet in the NBA on Monday night features the Memphis Grizzlies taking on the Dallas Mavericks. The game at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX, is scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET, and will be televised on NBA TV.
The Grizzlies are 54-26 SU and 44-34-2 ATS so far this season. They are 23-17 on the road, and are coming off of a 91-87 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. In that game, they lost against the spread as 2 point home favorites, with the total going UNDER the 182 ½ point line that was set. Before that, they had an 82-78 win over the Houston Rockets, and covered the spread as 2 ½ point road underdogs. The Grizzlies are 5-4-1 ATS over their last ten games.
The Mavericks are 40-40 SU and 47-33 ATS overall this season. They are 23-16 at home, and enter this one off of a 107-89 win over the New Orleans Hornets on Saturday. In that one, they won against the spread as 3 point road favorites, and the total went OVER the 195 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 108-105 overtime win over the Denver Nuggets, and covered the spread as 3 point home underdogs. The Mavs are 6-4 ATS over their last ten games.
Memphis is 3-1-1 ATS on the road, and 4-9 ATS against the Southwest Division. They are 13-6 ATS following a loss spreadwise, and 3-1-1 ATS coming off of a game in which they gave up 100 or more points. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent road games, and UNDER in 8 of their last 11 games on Monday night. The total has gone UNDER in 18 of their last 26 against the Southwest Division, and UNDER in 28 of their last 40 against the Western Conference. The total has gone UNDER in 20 of their last 28 games overall.
Dallas is 5-1 Ats overall lately, and 5-1 ATS against the Southwest Division. They are 24-8 ATS against the Western Conference, and 1-4 ATS at home against teams with a winning record on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 against teams with a winning record, and OVER in 6 of their last 9 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 8 of their last 11 games on Monday, and OVER in 5 of their last 7 games at home against teams with a winning record on the road.
Between these teams, the Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS. The total has gone UNDER in 19 of their last 27 meetings, and UNDER in 9 of their last 13 matchups in Dallas.
For tonight’s game, the Mavericks are listed as 4 point home underdogs. The over/under is set at 186 points.
Our take: we give the Mavericks the edge to upset and win this game. We also give them a 65.53% chance to cover the spread as +4 point home dogs. The projection for the OVER is also relatively strong, at 58.22%. There are a number of good games in the NBA tonight, so check out our basketball betting system to take advantage of them, especially as we head into the playoffs.