The first game of the NBA Playoffs today is the matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and the Indiana Pacers. The game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN, is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET, and will be televised on TNT.
The Hawks are 44-38 SU and 37-43-2 ATS so far this season. They are 19-22 on the road, and are coming off of a 98-92 loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday night. In that one, they lost against the spread as 5 point road underdogs, with the total going UNDER the 194 point line that was set. Before that, they had a 113-96 loss to the Toronto Raptors, and failed to cover the spread as 5 point home favorites. The Hawks are 2-8 ATS over their last ten games.
The Pacers are 49-32 SU and 42-39 ATS overall this year. They are 30-11 at home, and enter this game off of a 105-95 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday night. In that game, they lost against the spread as 2 ½ point home favorites, and the total went OVER the 186 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they suffered a 90-80 loss to the New York Knicks, and failed to cover the spread as 3 point road underdogs. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS over their last ten games.
Atlanta is 4-0 ATS on Sunday, and 6-2 ATS on the road. They are 5-2 ATS against the Central Division, and 10-4 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals. They are 3-7 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 1-8 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents. The total has gone OVER in 7 of their last 8 games on the road, and OVER in 6 of their last 7 games on the road against teams with a winning road record. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of their last 11 Quarterfinals games, and OVER in 11 of their last 14 games on Sunday. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 8 against the Central Division.
Indiana is 2-9 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 0-8 ATS on Sunday. They are 0-5 ATS at home, and 0-7 ATS against opponents from the Eastern Conference. They are 0-6 ATS overall lately. The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their recent games against teams with a winning record, and OVER in 5 of their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games overall, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
Between these teams, the Hawks are 10-4 ATS lately. The home team is 17-7 ATS, while the favorite is 19-7 ATS in this series. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 matchups in Indianapolis.
For tonight’s game, the Pacers are listed as 6 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 185 ½ points.
Our take: we give the Pacers a 71% chance to win the game outright, and a 52.04% chance to cover the spread. Our projection for the UNDER is 56.14%. Check out our sports betting system for more info on how we get these numbers.