The NBA season is winding down, but the best bet on Sunday evening is the matchup between the Sacramento Kings and Houston Rockets. The game at the Toyota Center in Houston, TX, is scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM ET, with television coverage on the Comcast Sports Network.
The Kings are 28-51 SU and 36-41-2 ATS so far this season. They are 8-31 on the road, and are coming off of a 108-101 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night. In that one, they covered the spread as 11 ½ point road underdogs, with the total going OVER the 207 ½ point line that was set. Before that, they had a 121-110 win over the New Orleans Hornets, and won against the spread as 6 point home favorites. The Kings are 6-4 ATS over their last ten games.
The Rockets are 44-35 SU and 40-38-1 ATS overall this year. They are 28-12 at home, and enter this game off of an 82-78 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night. In that one, they lost against the spread as 2 ½ point home favorites, and the total went UNDER the 195 point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 101-98 win over the Phoenix Suns, and lost against the spread a 14 ½ point home favorites. The Rockets are 4-6 ATS over their last ten games.
Sacramento is 4-0 ATS on the road, and 4-1 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record at home. They are 10-3 ATS following a SU loss, and 6-17 ATS against the Southwest Division. The total has gone OVER in 37 of their last 53 games against the Southwest Division, and OVER in 7 of their last 10 on Sunday. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 13 road games, and OVER in 19 of their last 29 games overall. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 on the road against teams with a winning record at home.
Houston is 7-15 ATS against teams with a losing overall record, and 3-10 ATS on Sunday. They are 1-4 ATS at home, and 1-6 ATS at home against teams with a losing road record. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent games against the Pacific Division, and UNDER in 10 of their last 11 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record, and UNDER in 11 of their last 15 overall. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 against the Western Conference.
Between these teams, the Kings are 2-8 ATS lately, and 9-3 ATS when playing in Houston. The road team is 24-10 ATS, while the favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series.
For tonight’s game, the Rockets are listed as 10 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 216 ½ points.
Our take: we give the Rockets a 76% chance to hang on and win the game, and we give the Kings a 59.77% chance to cover the spread as underdogs. Click here to check out our betting system for picks on the rest of tonight’s NBA games.