The second game in the NBA Playoffs this afternoon features the Los Angeles Lakers taking on the San Antonio Spurs. The game at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX, is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET, and will be televised on ABC.
The Lakers are 45-37 SU and 34-46-2 ATS so far this season. They are 16-25 on the road, and are coming off of a 99-95 overtime win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night. In that one, they won against the spread as 2 ½ point home favorites, with the total going OVER the 203 point line that was set. Before that, they had a 91-86 win over the San Antonio Spurs, winning against the spread as 3 ½ point home underdogs. The Lakers are 5-4-1 ATS over their last ten games.
The Spurs are 58-24 SU and 39-41-2 ATS overall this year. They are 35-6 at home, and are coming off of a 108-95 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night. In that game, they lost against the spread as 9 point home favorites, and the total went OVER the 199 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 116-106 loss to the Golden State Warriors, and failed to cover the spread as 6 point road underdogs. The Spurs are 2-8 ATS over their last ten games.
Los Angeles is 5-1-1 ATS against teams from the Southwest Division, and 2-5 ATS on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games on the road, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games on Sunday. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games against the Southwest Division, and UNDER in 21 of their last 28 against teams with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in 19 of their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record.
San Antonio is 5-16 ATS overall lately, and 1-7 ATS at home. They are 3-13 ATS against Western Conference teams, and 0-4 ATS against the Pacific Division. They are 0-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent games on Sunday, and UNDER in all 4 of their recent Conference Quarterfinals games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 7 games against the Pacific Division, and UNDER in 20 of their last 28 against teams with a winning record.
Between these teams, the Lakers are 7-3 ATS lately. The total has gone UNDER in 21 of their last 28 meetings, and UNDER in 20 of their last 27 matchups in San Antonio.
For tonight’s game, the Spurs are listed as 8 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 190 ½ points.
Our take: we give the Spurs an 82% chance to win this game outright, and a 58.29% chance to cover the spread. The projection for the OVER is 60.06%. Click here for the betting system we use for these stats and picks.