The first game of the NBA Playoffs on Wednesday night is a matchup between the Houston Rockets and the Oklahoma City Thunder. The game at Chesapeake Energy Arena in OKC is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET, and will be televised on TNT.
In Game 1 of this series, the Thunder easily took care of the Rockets, winning 120-91. The Thunder covered the spread as 10 ½ point home favorites, with the total going UNDER the 213 ½ point line that was set.
The Rockets are 45-38 SU and 41-41-1 ATS so far this season. They are 16-26 on the road. Before the Game 1 loss to OKC, they had a 99-95 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Lakers to close out the regular season. In that one, they lost against the spread as 2 ½ point road underdogs. Before that, they had a 119-112 win over the Phoenix Suns, and failed to cover the spread as 7 ½ point road favorites. The Rockets are 3-7 ATS over their last ten games.
The Thunder are 61-22 SU and 50-31-2 ATS overall this year. They are 35-7 at home. Before their Game 1 win over Houston, they had a 95-89 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks to finish up the regular season. In that one,they lost against the spread as 3 ½ point home favorites. Before that, they had a 104-95 win over the Sacramento Kings, and failed to cover the spread as 15 point home favorites. The Thunder are 7-3 ATS over their last ten games.
Houston is 2-5 ATS on Wednesday night, and 1-4 ATS in the Conference Quarterfinals. They are 1-4 ATS against the Northwest Division, and 1-6 ATS overall lately. They are 1-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent Conference Quarterfinals games, and UNDER in 13 of their last 16 games on Wednesday. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 against teams with a winning record, and UNDER in 13 of their last 19 games overall.
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS against teams with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS on Wednesday night. They are 17-6 ATS at home, and 13-4 ATS at home against teams with a losing road record. They are 44-19-3 ATS against the Western Conference. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent games on Wednesday night, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 against the Southwest Division. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 8 at home, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 against teams with a winning record. The total has gone UNDER in 19 of their last 28 games overall.
Between these teams, the Rockets are 1-6 ATS when playing in Oklahoma City, and the home team is 11-3 ATS in this series. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and OVER in 5 of their last 7 matchups in OKC.
For tonight’s game, the Thunder are listed as 11 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 212 ½ points.
Our take: we give the OKC Thunder an 82% chance to win this game. Neither team has a strong edge to cover the spread. Click here to learn about our basketball betting system for making your own predictions.