The best bet in the NBA on Saturday features the Phoenix Suns taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves. The game at the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET, and will be televised locally on WFTC.
The Suns are 24-55 SU and 31-45-3 ATS so far this season. They are 8-31 on the road, and are coming off of a 102-91 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night. In that one, they covered the spread as 13 ½ point road underdogs, and the total went UNDER the 204 ½ point line that was set. Before that, they suffered a 101-98 loss to the Houston Rockets, but covered the spread as 14 ½ point road dogs. The Suns are 5-5 ATS over their last ten games.
The Timberwolves are 29-50 SU and 36-40-3 ATS overall this year. They are 19-20 at home, and are coming off of a 107-100 loss to the Utah Jazz on Friday night. In that one, they covered the spread as 9 ½ point road underdogs, with the total going OVER the 196 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they suffered a 111-95 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, and lost against the spread as 11 ½ point road underdogs. The Timberwolves are 5-4-1 ATS over their last ten games.
Phoenix is 5-2-1 ATS on Saturday night, and 2-6 ATS on the road. They are 0-4 ATS against the Northwest Division, and 2-8 ATS against teams with a winning record SU. The total has gone OVER in all 5 of their recent games on Saturday, and UNDER in all 5 of their recent road games against teams with a losing home record. The total has gone UNDER in all 4 of their recent games following a SU win.
Minnesota is 6-1-1 ATS against teams with a winning overall record, and 1-3-1 ATS overall lately. They are 0-3-1 ATS on Saturday, and 6-2-1 ATS at home against teams with a losing road record. The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 at home against teams with a losing road record, and OVER in 7 of their last 10 on Saturday. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of their last 17 games at home.
Between these teams, the Suns are 6-1 ATS when playing in Minneapolis lately. The road team is 13-3 ATS, while the underdog is 4-1 ATS in this series. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
For tonight’s game, the Timberwolves are listed as 4 ½ point home favorites. The over/under is set at 200 ½ points.
Our take: give the edge to the Timberwolves to win the game, and cover the spread. We give them a 70% chance to win outright, and a 57.83% chance to cover the -4.5 spread. We’re also predicting the total goes UNDER, but not with as much confidence (56.53%). If you want to know how we get these numbers, check out our proven NBA betting system on this page.