The second game of the day in the NBA playoffs features the Golden State Warriors taking on the Denver Nuggets. Gametime at the Pepsi Center in Denver, CO, is scheduled for 5:30 PM ET, and you can watch all of the action on ESPN.
The Warriors are 47-35 SU and 42-39-1 ATS so far this season. They are 19-22 on the road, and are coming off of a 99-88 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night. In that one, they won against the spread as 8 ½ point road favorites, and the total went UNDER the 208 point line that was set. Before that, they had a 116-106 win over the San Antonio Spurs, winning against the spread as 6 point home favorites. The Warriors are 6-4 ATS over their last ten games.
The Nuggets are 57-25 SU and 49-32-1 ATS overall this year. They are 38-3 at home, and enter this game off of a 118-98 win over the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday night. In that game, they covered the spread as 13 point home favorites, with the total going OVER the 211 ½ point line that was set. Prior to that, they had a 112-111 win over the Milwaukee Bucks, but lost against the spread as 5 ½ point road favorites. The Nuggets are 6-4 ATS over their last ten games.
Golden State is 4-0 ATS in the Quarterfinals Round, and 4-1 ATS overall lately. They are 4-1 ATS against Western Conference opponents, and 5-11 ATS on the road. They are 5-14 ATS against teams with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record overall, and OVER in 10 of their last 14 games on Saturday. The total has gone OVER in 20 of their last 29 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home.
Denver is 10-1 ATS against the Pacific Division, and 15-5 ATS at home. They are 21-8 ATS on Saturday night, and 17-8-1 ATS overall lately. They are 36-15-1 ATS against teams from the Western Conference. The total has gone OVER in all 4 of their recent games overall, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 against the Western Conference. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 15 against Pacific Division opponents, and UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games at home.
Between these teams, the Warriors are 1-4 ATS lately, and 1-4 ATS when playing in Denver. The home team is 5-1 ATS, while the favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series.
For tonight’s game, the Nuggets are listed as 8 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 210 ½ points.
Our take: we give Denver a 61% chance to win this game outright, and we give the Warriors a 62.19% chance to cover the spread. Our projection for the OVER is 59.34%. Read about the basketball betting system we use for these picks on this page.